Refrigeration Oil Market to Hit USD 2,887.2 million by 2035 Amid Growing Cold Chain and Green HVAC Adoption

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The global refrigeration oil market is projected to expand from USD 1,695.5 million in 2025 to USD 2,887.2 million by 2035, registering a CAGR of 5.5% during the forecast period. This growth is primarily driven by the widespread adoption of energy-efficient refrigeration systems, regulatory pressure to reduce global warming potential (GWP), and the expansion of cold storage infrastructure, particularly in the food, pharmaceutical, and semiconductor industries.

The global refrigeration oil market is witnessing steady growth, driven by the expansion of cold chain logistics, rising demand for energy-efficient HVAC systems, and stricter environmental regulations targeting low-GWP refrigerants. With increasing adoption across food storage, pharmaceuticals, and precision cooling applications in electronics and EVs, synthetic and eco-friendly refrigeration oils are becoming essential for next-generation cooling technologies.

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Market Trends Highlighted:

  • Cold Chain Logistics Driving Growth:

The expansion of food delivery, vaccine storage, and pharmaceutical cold chains is significantly increasing the demand for reliable, high-performance refrigeration oils.

  • Green Refrigeration Technologies:

Global regulatory mandates such as the EPA (USA) and EU F-Gas regulation are encouraging the shift to synthetic, low-GWP oils compatible with modern eco-friendly refrigerants.

  • Technological Advancements in Lubricants:

The industry is witnessing innovation in ultra-low-viscosity, thermally stable refrigeration oils that offer better efficiency and longer service life, particularly for smart and automated HVAC systems.

  • Boom in Online Grocery and E-commerce Storage:

Rapid rise in online grocery and frozen food delivery has created massive demand for commercial refrigeration units, further boosting lubricant consumption.

  • Precision Cooling in Electronics and EVs:

High-performance refrigeration oils are essential in semiconductor manufacturing and electric vehicle (EV) battery cooling systems, especially in Asia-Pacific economies like Japan and South Korea.

  • District Cooling and ZEB (Zero Energy Buildings):

Urban infrastructure projects are integrating advanced HVAC and refrigeration solutions, driving the adoption of high-efficiency oils in commercial buildings.

Key Takeaways of the Report:

  • The market is on track to reach USD 2.9 billion by 2035, led by cold chain growth, smart HVAC systems, and green refrigerant regulations.
  • Synthetic and semi-synthetic refrigeration oils are gaining dominance due to their superior compatibility with modern, low-GWP refrigerants.
  • Key applications include food storage, pharmaceuticals, semiconductors, EV battery cooling, and building HVAC systems.
  • Increasing demand for durability, thermal stability, and low-viscosity performance in oils is reshaping lubricant formulation strategies.
  • Government policies, especially those targeting emissions and energy efficiency, are accelerating the replacement of conventional lubricants with next-gen refrigeration oils.

Regional Market Outlook:

United States (CAGR: 5.7%)

Growth is fueled by rising demand for commercial refrigeration in e-commerce grocery delivery and pharmaceuticals. EPA regulations are pushing manufacturers toward low-GWP, synthetic lubricants suited for next-gen HVAC systems.

United Kingdom (CAGR: 5.3%)

Driven by Net Zero 2050 goals, the UK market is shifting toward eco-friendly refrigeration systems and synthetic oils. Expansion in online grocery and retail cold chains continues to support market growth.

European Union (CAGR: 5.5%)

EU’s F-Gas regulations and increasing green building initiatives are supporting demand for low-GWP, bio-based refrigeration oils. Industrial food processing and solar-powered cooling systems are key application areas.

Japan (CAGR: 5.2%)

High demand from the semiconductor, electronics, and EV sectors is driving growth. The adoption of smart cooling and compliance with strict environmental norms is increasing usage of precision, biodegradable refrigeration oils.

South Korea (CAGR: 5.4%)

Cold chain logistics, cleanroom manufacturing for semiconductors, and energy-efficient HVAC adoption are the core growth drivers. Smart, AI-enabled cooling systems are pushing demand for long-lasting, low-viscosity oils.

Companies

  • Royal Dutch Shell Plc.
  • ExxonMobil Corporation
  • Idemitsu Kosan Co., Ltd.
  • FUCHS Lubricants
  • Lanxess
  • MEIWA CORPORATION
  • CPI Fluid Engineering
  • Chevron Phillips Chemical Company LLC

Key Segments

By Product Type:

  • Mineral Oil
  • Synthetic Oil
    • Polyol Ester
    • Poly Alpha Olefin
    • Alkyl Benzene
    • Polyalkylene Glycol
    • Polyvinyl ether
    • Others (Phenol Propoxylate oil etc.)

By Refrigerant Type:

  • Chlorofluorocarbon (CFC)
  • Hydro-chlorofluorocarbon (HCFC)
  • Hydro-fluorocarbon (HFC)
  • Ammonia
  • Others

By Application:

  • Air Conditioners
  • Coolers
  • Chillers
  • Refrigerators/ Freezers
  • Condensers
  • Others (Ice Machines etc.)

By End Use:

  • Industrial
  • Commercial
  • Residential

By Region:

  • North America
  • Latin America
  • Eastern Europe
  • Western Europe
  • South Asia & Pacific
  • East Asia
  • Middle East & Africa

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Future Market Insights, Inc. (ESOMAR certified, recipient of the Stevie Award, and a member of the Greater New York Chamber of Commerce) offers profound insights into the driving factors that are boosting demand in the market. FMI stands as the leading global provider of market intelligence, advisory services, consulting, and events for the Packaging, Food and Beverage, Consumer Technology, Healthcare, Industrial, and Chemicals markets. With a vast team of over 400 analysts worldwide, FMI provides global, regional, and local expertise on diverse domains and industry trends across more than 110 countries.

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About the Author

Nikhil Kaitwade

Associate Vice President at Future Market Insights, Inc. has over a decade of experience in market research and business consulting. He has successfully delivered 1500+ client assignments, predominantly in Automotive, Chemicals, Industrial Equipment, Oil & Gas, and Service industries.
His core competency circles around developing research methodology, creating a unique analysis framework, statistical data models for pricing analysis, competition mapping, and market feasibility analysis. His expertise also extends wide and beyond analysis, advising clients on identifying growth potential in established and niche market segments, investment/divestment decisions, and market entry decision-making.
Nikhil holds an MBA degree in Marketing and IT and a Graduate in Mechanical Engineering. Nikhil has authored several publications and quoted in journals like EMS Now, EPR Magazine, and EE Times.

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